The GOP is going to be in the race for a majority of seats in the House of Representatives in 2018, but that won’t be easy.
That’s because they’ll need to flip eight seats in states that voted for President Donald Trump in 2016, and then flip another four in states where they lost President Trump in the 2016 election.
Democrats have an advantage in those states because they are far more competitive than Republicans.
The map below shows how those races will play out in 2018.
Trump won the popular vote in the 2020 election, and Republicans still control the House and the Senate.
The party is going for an average of 235 seats to 232.
Democrats hold the balance of power in the Senate, and a number of GOP-leaning states will flip from Democratic to Republican in 2018 — though it’s hard to imagine the party winning back any of those seats.
If you’re a conservative and don’t believe that the GOP will win back the House in 2018 and control the Senate in 2020, there are some things you can do.
Here are some ideas you can consider.
Don’t buy the theory that Democrats have a big advantage in the popular and electoral vote states.
The idea that the Republicans have an edge in electoral votes comes from Nate Silver, a former political scientist who worked for President George W. Bush and ran his campaign.
But that’s not true.
In 2018, the GOP won every single swing state.
In 2016, they won all 50 states except Wisconsin, which they lost to Democratic-leaning Rep. Tammy Baldwin.
Republicans are going to need to win every single state to regain control of the House.
They’ll need 270 electoral votes to win control of either chamber, and they’ll likely need 218 votes to pass the 50-state threshold.
But if you think that Democrats will lose the popular votes in some states, then you need to seriously reconsider.
Two of the most important states to hold are Florida and North Carolina.
In Florida, the Democrats will hold a narrow advantage over the GOP.
The state is currently split between the Democrats and the Republicans, but the Democrats have won every state except for North Carolina, where Trump won by a razor-thin margin.
And in North Carolina’s race, Democrat Ralph Northam is the favorite.
The two are tied in the polls, with the margin in the Republican-leaning Tar Heel State right around 2.5 percentage points.
It’s not as close as you might think.
So the real question is not if Republicans will lose Florida, but how close they’ll be.
If the Republican Party keeps losing, they’ll lose Florida.
If they lose North Carolina and lose Florida to the Democrats, that’ll be close enough to put the race into play.
That would be the case in Texas, where Republicans currently hold a huge advantage in state legislative seats.
Republicans will need to hold on to a seat in the state Senate, which is currently held by Sen. Ted Cruz, but there are other opportunities to flip seats.
Republicans will need another six seats to control both chambers of Congress, and the GOP is likely to lose some seats in both chambers, which could make 2018 a more difficult year for Republicans.
Buy the theory about the electoral map shifting.
Another theory that has been floated is that the Democratic Party is winning the electoral vote in states like Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that voted heavily for President Trump.
That theory has several problems.
The most obvious is that it doesn’t account for swing states like North Carolina that Trump lost in 2016.
And even if it did, the fact that some states voted strongly for Trump and then flipped to Democrats in 2018 means that the state will be in play again.
Also, even if the Democratic candidate won those states in 2020 and 2018, that doesn’t mean the Democratic win is the same.
That might just be a fluke.
The Trump effect has been a lot harder to explain in those swing states.
Democrats won all five of the swing states that flipped to the Republicans in 2016 — North Carolina is a close one, and Ohio, which flipped to Trump, also voted for Trump.
The flip of a state doesn’t make it more competitive.
And that could change if Trump loses the popular-vote count in a state, but also if Trump wins the Electoral College.
Don´t buy the argument that Republicans are vulnerable in red states.
The idea that Republicans will win only one of the eight swing states is false.
One of the reasons Republicans are so vulnerable is because they’ve been very successful in red-leaning districts, and Democrats are going for it in blue-leaning ones.
That has led to some bad headlines like the New Hampshire primary, in which Democrats pulled off a stunning upset over Republican Gov.
There are two reasons to think Democrats will win red